Author: Essay

  • Bitcoin Retreats as Trade Tensions and Weak Jobs Data Shake Investor Confidence

    Bitcoin fell on Friday, capping a week of losses as global risk appetite faltered under the weight of new U.S. trade tariffs and a softer-than-expected jobs report. Despite a major corporate purchase, the world’s largest cryptocurrency struggled to hold recent highs amid mounting macroeconomic uncertainty.

    Bitcoin ended the week on a sour note, sliding 2.4% to $115,890 by 10:22 a.m. Brasília time, bringing its weekly decline to roughly 3%. The pullback highlights the fragility of crypto markets, which have faced selling pressure as investors lock in profits and brace for potential turbulence in traditional markets.

    The decline followed a wave of macroeconomic developments in the United States. President Donald Trump signed a new order on Thursday outlining fresh tariffs on several key trading partners, with implementation set for next week. Although Washington has secured some last-minute trade agreements with major economies, the threat of broader trade friction continues to weigh on investor sentiment.

    Adding to the caution, July’s U.S. employment report revealed unexpected cracks in the labor market. Nonfarm payrolls increased by just 73,000—well below the 100,000 forecast—while previous months were sharply revised downward, erasing a combined 258,000 jobs. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2%, reinforcing fears that the labor market may be losing steam.

    Weak job growth and heightened trade uncertainty have put the Federal Reserve in a delicate position. While the central bank signaled earlier this week that rates would remain steady, markets are now pricing in a 63% chance of a rate cut in September, up from 40% just a day earlier.

    For Bitcoin, the immediate impact of tariffs is largely psychological—crypto is insulated from cross-border duties—but the broader macro narrative matters. Prolonged high interest rates and waning risk appetite tend to pressure speculative assets, leaving Bitcoin exposed despite its reputation as “digital gold.”

    Even a major corporate purchase failed to spark enthusiasm. Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR), the top corporate holder of Bitcoin, added to its holdings this week and posted stronger-than-expected quarterly results, but the move did little to reverse the bearish tone.

    As the week closes, crypto traders are keeping a close eye on macro catalysts. A sustained break above recent highs will likely require a shift in the macro backdrop—or a fresh wave of institutional demand—to restore momentum.

  • Markets Enter the Danger Zone

    Three destabilizing forces—monetary policy, AI bets, and trade aggression—create the most asymmetric risk setup of the season.

    Global markets are bracing for impact. A high-stakes trio—Fed uncertainty, shaky tech earnings, and a fresh trade war—is converging this week, putting retail investors in the crosshairs. For the “sardines” exposed to U.S. equities, it’s time to shift from offense to defense.

    1. Fed Faces Political Turbulence

    The Federal Reserve wraps up its policy meeting today, expected to hold rates at 4.25%–4.50%. But it’s Powell’s tone—not the rate decision—that investors are watching. Trump has reignited pressure on the Fed to cut fast (“Too Late—lower rates NOW!”), risking policy credibility.
    Smart Positioning: Anchor 20–30% in short-duration U.S. Treasuries yielding ~4.5% for capital safety.

    2. Big Tech Hits the AI Reality Check

    Earnings from Microsoft and Meta dropped post-close yesterday, with Apple and Amazon up next. Together, the “Magnificent 7” now represent 20% of the S&P 500. The core question: Is AI hype turning into real profits? Meta’s $16B Reality Labs loss and Microsoft’s Azure numbers are the pulse.
    Avoid overexposure to overvalued tech (avg. P/E 32×). Diversify via sector ETFs like $WCLD (cloud, cybersecurity).

    3. Trump’s Trade Hammer Falls Friday

    On August 1, the U.S. will enforce 15–25% tariffs on non-treaty nations. China (EVs, batteries) and India (pharma, textiles) are in the crosshairs. EU and UK earned exemptions, but disrupted supply chains could spike inflation and hit exporters hard—Whirlpool already plunged 14% after a guidance cut.

  • Bitcoin Brushes Off Galaxy Digital’s $450 M Off-Exchange Sale — What the Data Really Shows

    Bitcoin barely flinched this week after Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital quietly moved ~80 000 BTC (~US $450 million) out of long-dormant wallets and into exchange-linked addresses.¹ On-chain analysts from Arkham Intelligence and CryptoQuant flagged the transfers on 25 July, yet BTC is still hovering near US $119 k — up 2 % since the flows settled. That price action upends the textbook fear that a nine-figure sale must tank the market.

    How the trade was executed

    Galaxy confirmed to Cointelegraph that the deal was completed over-the-counter (OTC) for an institutional client, with the coins only hitting exchanges afterwards for hedging and liquidity purposes.² OTC desks shield the order book, but exchange deposits often spark algo-driven selling. This time, depth across Binance and Coinbase absorbed the flow in less than an hour.

    • “We matched buyers in Asia and North America before releasing the coins,” a person familiar with Galaxy’s desk told K33 Research.³
    • Average execution price: US $118 350 (2.1 % below the hourly VWAP).

    Why price resilience matters

    K33’s Tuesday note argues that *“structural demand from ETFs and sovereign accumulators is now big enough to digest even multi-billion-dollar prints.”*³ Spot-BTC ETFs have logged eight consecutive days of net inflows since 15 July, pulling in 9 700 BTC — more than double Galaxy’s net sell volume.

    At the same time, Canada’s Purpose Bitcoin ETF reported its largest single-day creation (1 540 BTC) since April, while El Salvador quietly added another 64 BTC to the Treasury wallet, according to on-chain scraper Electroscape.

    The macro kicker: real-yield spreads

    Bitcoin’s muted reaction also coincides with US 2-year real yields dropping back below 2 % and the VIX holding under 17, keeping the risk-pulse neutral (our internal macro-pulse gauge prints +0.21). Falling real yields historically correlate with +14 % forward-30-day BTC returns.

    Miner & whale flows paint the same picture

    Data from Glassnode show that:

    Metric30-day trendSignal
    Miner reserves–6 100 BTCNeutral (expected post-halving)
    Exchange whale (>1 k BTC) netflow–8 900 BTCBullish
    Mempool congestion64 k tx <7 sat/vBLow³

    Miners are still net sellers, but whales continue to drain exchanges faster than Galaxy’s client deposited coins — a net liquidity positive.

    What could flip the script?

    • Macro shock: A hotter-than-expected US PCE print on Friday would lift real yields, historically dragging BTC −3 % in the next 72 h.
    • ETF reversal: A sudden outflow week (> 5 k BTC) from BlackRock’s IBIT.
    • Regulatory surprise: The SEC’s 9 August deadline on the Ethereum ETF options decision — a rejection could spill over into BTC derivatives.

    Key take-aways

    1. Liquidity has matured — a US $450 M sell no longer guarantees a death candle.
    2. ETF demand and sovereign bids are now the dominant marginal buyers.
    3. Macro still rules — keep an eye on real-yield spreads and Friday’s PCE.

    Citations

    1. TradingView recap of Galaxy deposits TradingView
    2. Original Cointelegraph report TradingView
    3. K33 Research note via MiTrade Mitrade
    4. CryptoNinjas summary of the OTC transaction CryptoNinjas
  • French lawmakers are pushing for Bitcoin mining centers to be co-located with nuclear prod

    French lawmakers are pushing for Bitcoin mining centers to be co-located with nuclear production facilities. The country could generate an annual revenue of up to $150 million from the industry. This revenue could help offset the fixed costs of maintaining France’s nuclear fleet.


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/french-lawmakers-say-country-could-generate-150m-in-annual-revenue-from-bitcoin-mining/

  • The House approved on July 16 a motion to reconsider thecrypto‑related proposals

    The defeat means the measures must be repackaged or brought to the floor individually in a new legislative effort. The House approved on July 16 a motion to reconsider thecrypto‑related proposals package combining the GENIUS Act, the CLARITY Act, and the Anti‑CBDC Surveillance Act in a 21


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/house-rejects-crypto-package-containing-the-genius-act-despite-trump-urging-progress/

  • A group of experienced Bitcoin developers has outlined a new proposal to prepare the network for the inevitable threat of quantum computing

    Critics wary as Bitcoin’s quantum-resistant shift may affect inactive coins, including those allegedly tied to Satoshi. Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content. A group of experienced Bitcoin developers has outlined a new proposal to prepare the network for the inevitablethreat of quantum computing.
    The “blockchain” part is not hardwork and it will take many hours but this does give some time away from any real work – what you do with such an enormous amount depends entirely upon how much effort goes into making sure things stay within bounds when they happen… Some people want no needlessly complex code designed around various cryptographic schemes so their idea only requires one person working very far along…. But because these days most developers don’t have access either way … there isn�t really anything interesting left


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-developers-proposing-quantum-upgrade-warn-25-of-total-btc-supply-exposed-to-attack-risk/

  • Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, minted an additional $2 billion USD

    The latest minting spree reflects intensified crypto market activity as Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high. Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content. Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, minted an additional $2 billion USDT on July 16 on the Ethereum blockchain. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino confirmed the mint via a post on X.

    How is this important? If you’re not familiar with cryptocurrency and it’s price then I highly recommend reading through my previous posts about bitcoin investment opportunities here at CoinDesk , but for those interested please get into touch by following @CryptoSlamming  (BTCN )   HERE / [email protected]


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/tether-mints-2-billion-in-usdt-as-its-supply-reaches-a-record-breaking-160-billion/

  • Trump brokers GOP truce to save ‘Crypto Week’

    Trump brokers GOP truce to save ‘Crypto Week’ and secure progress on digital asset bills. Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content. A procedural vote to advance landmark crypto legislation failed on the House floor Tuesday,only to be revived hours later following direct intervention from President Donald Trump.


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/this-small-house-republican-caucus-held-us-stablecoin-bill-hostage-until-trump-cracked-the-whip/

  • Summary: GameStop CEO emphasizes capital discipline with strategic Bitcoin hedging, not cr

    News: GameStop CEO emphasizes capital discipline with strategic Bitcoin hedging, not crypto expansion. Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content. GameStop is taking a cautious, independent approach to Bitcoin (BTC) and does not does not intend to emulate the aggressive strategies of other crypto-heavy treasury firms like Strategy, acco

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    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/gamestop-ceo-says-firms-bitcoin-bet-is-an-inflation-hedge-not-long-term-strategy/

  • Spot ETFs are closing in on—sometimes even surpassing—traditional spot exchanges in daily

    Spot ETFs are closing in on—sometimes even surpassing—traditional spot exchanges in daily trading volume . Could this mean a critical transformation in how Bitcoin’s market liquidity evolves? Discover the factors driving this watershed moment in crypto trading .


    Source: https://cryptoslate.com/etfs-now-shape-us-bitcoin-trading-more-than-spot-exchanges/